Weekly Market Report

Trendsetters in economic analysis have lately been choosing comparative figures between the present and 2007 as the must-have items of the season. Comparing recent data on unemployment, spending habits and housing starts to the vintage days of 2007 are opening up the conversation of the economy’s future. Recovery is in style and may even continue as we dive headlong into the heart of the winter months.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending December 6:

  • New Listings decreased 4.4% to 849
  • Pending Sales increased 5.7% to 815
  • Inventory decreased 0.9% to 14,806

For the month of November:

  • Median Sales Price increased 5.1% to $205,000
  • Days on Market increased 5.3% to 79
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.7% to 94.7%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 8.8% to 3.7

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Recovery Plows Forward as New Condo Prices Reach Fresh Highs

The Twin Cities regional housing market continued to make strides toward recovery in November, even as some measures appear to show unfavorable movement. Pending sales, or the number of signed purchase agreements, fell 7.5 percent in November compared to last year. New listings decreased 12.8 percent. Inventory levels were nearly flat, down 1.0 percent to 14,948 homes.

The median sales price rose 5.1 percent to $205,000, marking 33 consecutive months of year-over-year median price gains. Price per square foot rose 3.4 percent to $120 while months supply of inventory increased 5.9 percent to 3.6. Days on market until sale rose 5.3 percent to 79.

As has reliably been the case for years, pending purchase activity of traditional homes rose even while the overall pending sales indicator declined, signaling the ongoing shift from distressed properties back to the once-again dominant traditional sector. That changing mix of sales activity has helped catalyze the nearly three straight years of price gains seen in the region.

Another factor boosting prices is newly constructed condominiums, particularly in downtown Minneapolis. There’s a building boom happening downtown, even after factoring out the construction and surrounding redevelopment of the new stadium for the Minnesota Vikings.

The median price of new construction condominium sales rose 65.2 percent in November to a new high of $366,242. Although that’s for the entire Twin Cities area, downtown new construction condos comprised about 30.0 percent of all similar units in the Twin Cities in November 2006 but made up about 60.0 percent of that segment in November 2014.

Despite the shiny marvel of new downtown development, the overall housing stock in the Twin Cities region remains quite affordable historically. The Twin Cities housing affordability index of 191 means that the median household income was 91 percent higher than the necessary income needed to qualify for the median-priced home under current interest rates.

In October, the Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that the Twin Cities had the lowest rate of unemployment among major metros in the nation at 3.2 percent. The national rate, at 5.8 percent, is the lowest since July 2008. With national private job creation reaching above 300,000 new payrolls in November, the overall jobs picture is bright.

Weekly Market Report

No good news goes unpunished. As the economy churned out more than 320,000 private jobs in November, some say the Federal Reserve is that much more likely to stick to the plan of raising rates by mid-2015. The truth is that the U.S. is on track for the strongest yearly job growth since 1999. That means more families are in a better position to buy a home, which is of course good news for housing. Let’s take a look at the local housing market.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending November 29:

  • New Listings decreased 13.5% to 468
  • Pending Sales decreased 8.3% to 539
  • Inventory increased 0.5% to 15,557

For the month of November:

  • Median Sales Price increased 5.1% to $205,000
  • Days on Market increased 5.3% to 79
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.7% to 94.7%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 5.9% to 3.6

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

Amidst frantic shopping for all the things between turkey and toys, the economy has made a surprising statement, offering big gains over the last six months not seen since mid-2003. As we head into the final stretch of the fourth quarter, mortgage rates remain fairly stable, with the 30-year fixed rate mortgage still hovering below 4 percent.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending November 22:

  • New Listings decreased 3.5% to 862
  • Pending Sales decreased 2.7% to 802
  • Inventory increased 1.6% to 16,122

For the month of October:

  • Median Sales Price increased 6.7% to $208,000
  • Days on Market decreased 4.0% to 72
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.6% to 95.2%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 13.5% to 4.2

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

Consumers are already starting to lean toward 2015, so let’s look ahead ourselves before we hit the weekly tabulations. With virtually no inflation to speak of, interest rates should remain low for the foreseeable future but could flirt with 5.0 percent toward the end of next year. Both new and existing inventory levels should rise – which is more of a continuation than a new development for many communities. Prices are also expected to increase but not by much, which should help first-time buyers. Job growth is likely to continue, and wage growth is expected to pick up.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending November 15:

  • New Listings decreased 14.5% to 857
  • Pending Sales decreased 1.6% to 749
  • Inventory increased 3.5% to 16,692

For the month of October:

  • Median Sales Price increased 6.7% to $208,000
  • Days on Market decreased 4.0% to 72
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.6% to 95.2%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 13.5% to 4.2

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

November Monthly Skinny Video

Where has the Twin Cities real estate market been and where is it heading? This monthly summary provides an overview of current trends and projections for future activity. Narrated by David Arbit, Research Manager at the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS®, video produced by Chelsie Lopez.

Weekly Market Report

As fall finally goes dim, winter emerges as the prevailing wind through the marketplace. While optimism serves as a white rose through this phase, moderate unemployment rates have given pause to overabundant optimism. All the same, the desire for homeownership remains high among those willing to absorb some risk while attracting enthusiasm.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending November 8:

  • New Listings decreased 2.8% to 1,104
  • Pending Sales increased 2.0% to 826
  • Inventory increased 4.1% to 16,972

For the month of October:

  • Median Sales Price increased 6.7% to $208,000
  • Days on Market decreased 4.0% to 72
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.6% to 95.2%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 13.5% to 4.2

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Gains in Traditional Activity

In October 2014, overall buyer and seller activity both cooled slightly in the 13-county Minneapolis–St. Paul metropolitan area. Pending sales declined 1.3 percent from last year, while new listings decreased 2.3 percent.

Gains in traditional activity nearly offset dramatic declines in the foreclosure and short sale arena. Inventory levels rose 4.3 percent to 17,132 homes, providing buyers with more options. The median sales price rose 7.2 percent to $209,000, marking 32 consecutive months of year-over-year median price gains. Price per square foot rose 5.6 percent to $123.

The amount of time a home spends on the market fell 4.0 percent to 72 days, on average. Months’ supply of inventory rose 10.8 percent to 4.1 months, suggesting that the market is moving back toward balance after favoring sellers. The sales mix continued to skew toward traditional homes that sell in less time and at higher price points.

Despite an overall 2.3 percent decrease in seller activity, traditional new listings rose 6.7 percent while foreclosure and short sale new listings were down 42.4 and 31.3 percent, respectively. Similarly, overall closed sales were down 1.5 percent, but traditional closed sales rose 9.7 percent while foreclosure and short sale closings fell 41.1 and 48.3 percent. Market-wide inventory levels increased 4.3 percent, but traditional inventory was up 17.9 percent while foreclosure and short sale inventory levels declined 39.0 and 43.5 percent.

The Twin Cities housing affordability index of 188 means that the median household income was 88 percent higher than what’s necessary to qualify for the median-priced home given current interest rates. While the index is below its 2012 peak, it remains above its long-term average.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Twin Cities has the lowest unemployment rate among major metros in the nation at about 3.8 percent. The national rate recently dropped below 6.0 percent for the first time since 2008.

From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

As many markets begin to prepare for colder weather or festive family gatherings, a familiar seasonal slowing will begin to creep into the weekly numbers. Yet housing activity can be expected to float along at a seasonally healthy pace like a fallen leaf on a lazy river. With no big, negative economic news on the horizon, reliable sales, price and inventory figures, though not flashy, are quite welcome.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending November 1:

  • New Listings decreased 9.2% to 1,076
  • Pending Sales decreased 6.2% to 940
  • Inventory increased 5.7% to 17,760

For the month of October:

  • Median Sales Price increased 7.2% to $209,000
  • Days on Market decreased 4.0% to 72
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.6% to 95.2%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 10.8% to 4.1

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

In the buildup of anticipation for the season of pumpkin carving, caramel apple eating and haunted house touring, it came out that one number was spookily down. Homeownership is at its lowest point in 20 years and has been steadily dropping since the housing bubble years from 2004 to 2006. Interestingly, we are now at levels consistent with a healthy market. Also, rising rents should eventually give cause to more households seeking ownership positions. So-called bad news is good, especially in the dark days surrounding Halloween.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending October 25:

  • New Listings increased 4.5% to 1,267
  • Pending Sales decreased 10.4% to 861
  • Inventory increased 5.5% to 17,894

For the month of September:

  • Median Sales Price increased 5.1% to $205,000
  • Days on Market remained flat at 71
  • Percent of Original List Price Received decreased 0.9% to 95.6%
  • Months Supply of Inventory increased 18.4% to 4.5

All comparisons are to 2013

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.