Bruce Erickson

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Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending April 3, 2021

The University of Michigan’s latest Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 84.9 points, up from 76.8 in February and the highest level since last March’s 89.1 reading. The index is an economic indicator of the overall health of the economy as determined by consumer opinion. Increasing values point to increasing consumer confidence in their own financial health and the health of the overall economy.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 3:

  • New Listings decreased 7.6% to 1,406
  • Pending Sales increased 21.8% to 1,358
  • Inventory decreased 49.4% to 5,051

For the month of February:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3% to 46
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.1% to 100.1%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending March 27, 2021

As the spring market is in full swing and home prices are ticking up, mortgage rates have moved higher in recent weeks as well. Freddie Mac reports that the national average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 3.17% with an average of .6 points. While rates are still below the average of 3.5% for the same week last year, the year over year comparison has been tightening in recent weeks.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending March 27:

  • New Listings decreased 3.8% to 1,479
  • Pending Sales increased 15.5% to 1,327
  • Inventory decreased 49.0% to 4,992

For the month of February:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3% to 46
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.1% to 100.1%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending March 20, 2021

Real estate data firm ATTOM Data Solutions reported that the number of homes flipped by investors decreased in 2020 for the first time since 2014. For this study, ATTOM defined a home flip as a condo or single-family home that sold twice within 12 months. Flips of single-family homes and condos fell 13.1% in 2020 compared to 2019, falling to its lowest point since 2016. ATTOM estimated that 5.9% of all homes sold in 2020 were flips.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending March 20:

  • New Listings decreased 21.4% to 1,390
  • Pending Sales increased 4.9% to 1,230
  • Inventory decreased 48.6% to 4,872

For the month of February:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3% to 46
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.1% to 100.1%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending March 13, 2021

Freddie Mac reported that cash-out refinancing activity surged 42% in 2020 compared to 2019, as homeowners cashed out $152.7 billion in home equity, the highest level since 2007. Low interest rates and strong appreciation in recent years proved attractive to cash-out refinance borrowers, who, on average, withdrew $50,000 in equity.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending March 13:

  • New Listings decreased 22.0% to 1,391
  • Pending Sales increased 4.8% to 1,252
  • Inventory decreased 46.5% to 4,857

For the month of February:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3% to 46
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.1% to 100.1%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Twin Cities housing market still hot, but sales growth flattening

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Price growth strong, market times fast, but new listings down and supply levels very low

(March 17, 2021) – According to new data from the Minneapolis Area REALTORS® and the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®, sales activity in the 16-county Twin Cities metro continues to climb above 2020 levels while the number of signed purchase agreements flattened out. Closed sales rose 4.8 percent from last February, which was the highest figure since at least 2003. While new signed purchase agreements were also the strongest since 2005, they were down 0.1 percent from last year, suggesting low supply could be constraining sales.

The number of homes on the market is now at a 20-year low. Sellers listed 12.6 percent fewer homes than February 2020, further shrinking a slim pool of available homes and befuddling home shoppers who continue to show up in record numbers.“We’re seeing lots of factors at play right now,” according to Todd Walker, President of Minneapolis Area REALTORS®. “Buyers are running up against the inventory shortage even as they’re inspired by 50-year low mortgage rates. We’re seeing shifting attitudes around urban living and condos. People are also very encouraged by the progress on the vaccination front.”

The number of homes for sale in February was down 46.3 percent compared to a year ago. That amounts to 0.8 months of supply, while a balanced market has 4-6 months of supply. At 100.1 percent of list price, sellers are still benefiting from historically strong offers, often over asking price and with multiple bids. Homes are selling in record time—half the listings in February sold in under 19.5 days. Home prices rose notably, up 11.5 percent from last February. Historically low rates can partly offset rising prices.

“With so many buyers vying over a shrinking pool of listings, well-priced and well-staged homes don’t spend much time on the market,” said Tracy Baglio, President of the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®. “That means buyers have to come out swinging right out of the gate with their best offer in order to be successful.”

Though pending sales were down 0.1 percent metro-wide, they were up 23.3 percent in Minneapolis and 8.4 percent in St. Paul, indicating buyer interest remains strong in the urban core. Condos also saw the strongest demand growth in both pending and closed sales. New construction sales rose 32.5 percent compared to a 2.6 percent increase for previously owned homes. Sales of luxury properties ($1M+) have been strong—up 53.1 percent from last February.

February 2021 by the numbers compared to a year ago

  • Sellers listed 4,686 properties on the market, a 12.6 percent decrease from last February
  • Buyers signed 4,226 purchase agreements, down 0.1 percent (3,212 closed sales, up 4.8 percent)
  • Inventory levels fell 46.3 percent to 4,670 units
  • Months Supply of Inventory was down 52.9 percent to8 months (4-6 months is balanced)
  • The Median Sales Price rose 11.5 percent to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3 percent to 46 days, on average (median of 19.5, down 51.3 percent)
  • Changes in Sales activity varied by market segment
    • Single family sales were up 8.0 percent; condo sales rose 27.9 percent; townhome sales decreased 10.1 percent
    • Traditional sales rose 7.9 percent; foreclosure sales were down 51.3 percent; short sales fell 68.8 percent
    • Previously owned sales were up 2.6 percent; new construction sales climbed 32.5 percent

From The Skinny Blog.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending March 6, 2021

With the spring market well underway, buyer activity remains very robust and hot properties continue to frequently encounter bidding wars. While mortgage rates have ticked up over 3% for the first time since last July, the incremental increase is unlikely to have a substantial effect on buyer demand.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending March 6:

  • New Listings decreased 21.8% to 1,433
  • Pending Sales decreased 1.7% to 1,130
  • Inventory decreased 44.6% to 4,818

For the month of February:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $314,000
  • Days on Market decreased 31.3% to 46
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.1% to 100.1%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending February 27, 2021

Home prices continue to rise at a fast pace nationally, with the median sales price of existing homes up 14.1% in January 2021 from the same time last year. Sales were also up, with January’s seasonally-adjusted annual existing home sales climbing 23.7% from the year before. Low supply of homes for sale continues to be an issue as “sales easily could have been even 20% higher if there had been more inventory and more choices,” according to NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending February 27:

  • New Listings decreased 15.8% to 1,211
  • Pending Sales increased 4.0% to 1,104
  • Inventory decreased 43.4% to 4,783

For the month of January:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.1% to $300,000
  • Days on Market decreased 37.3% to 42
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.6% to 99.5%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending February 20, 2021

Freddie Mac reported this week the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate rose to 2.81%, its highest point since mid-November, but still far lower than the 3.49% average from the same time last year. Interest rates may rise further in coming weeks, but according to Freddie Mac chief economist Sam Khater, “while there are multiple temporary factors driving up rates, the underlying economic fundamentals point to rates remaining in the low 3 percent range for the year.”

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending February 20:

  • New Listings decreased 21.1% to 1,032
  • Pending Sales decreased 4.6% to 1,026
  • Inventory decreased 41.7% to 4,884

For the month of January:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $301,000
  • Days on Market decreased 37.3% to 42
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.6% to 99.5%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

Weekly Market Report

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For Week Ending February 13, 2021

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s most recent National Delinquency Survey reported that the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four unit residential properties declined to a seasonally adjusted rate of 6.73 percent of all loans outstanding in Q4 2020. The percent of loans delinquent was down nearly one percent from Q3 2020, but still up nearly three percent from one year ago.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending February 13:

  • New Listings decreased 6.6% to 1,120
  • Pending Sales decreased 3.6% to 981
  • Inventory decreased 42.3% to 4,833

For the month of December:

  • Median Sales Price increased 11.5% to $301,000
  • Days on Market decreased 37.3% to 42
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 2.6% to 99.5%
  • Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 47.1% to 0.9

All comparisons are to 2020

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.

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